Taylor rule and Markov-Switching

In a 2013 WP, David Papell et al. propose to extend standard Taylor rules for the US by allowing parameters to change over time. They assume that changes in parameters are driven by an unobserved Markov-Chain. They point out the response of the FED to inflation is regime dependent. Results show that the usual decomposition of samples between  pre and post-Volcker period is not necessarily the best choice.

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